Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +14 (73-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Castro | 38 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 4-11 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 16 | - |
| D. Roberts | 34 | 1-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Hopkins | 34 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| P. Simpson | 32 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Pearson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Isham | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Killen | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Ritter | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Dement | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Shiloh | 38 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N. Fazekas | 34 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 23 | - |
| K. Pinkney | 34 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Washington | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 13 | - |
| R. Sessions | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Taylor | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Bell | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Ellis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Charlo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter