Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +24 (95-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bethel * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Hodge * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| I. Evtimov * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Brackman * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| G. Grant | 29 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Simmons | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Collins | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 33 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| S. May * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| R. McCants * | 31 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams | 23 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D. Noel | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Scott | 7 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Holley | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Hooker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Everett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Terry | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Foster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Sanders | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter