Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.6% | 18.4% | -8.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -24 (57-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Nelson | 29 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| N. Harris | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Pak | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Carroll | 24 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Holmes | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Williams | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. McGowen | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Neil | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Crane | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Calvin Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. McVey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Williams | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| G. Jones | 30 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Enzweiler | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Henry | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Haskins | 19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Mike Titchenal | 19 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| F. Sampson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Lisinac | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Whiten | 14 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -4 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. McGinn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter