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Duke Blue Devils 89
@
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 92
2005-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 83.2% 16.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 78.3% 21.7% - ✗
Margin 85.0% 15.0% -9.5 ✗ (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 65.0% 35.0% - ✗

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +3 (92-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 40 10-22 5-13 8-9 3 5 1 0 1 33 19 -
S. Williams * 38 6-10 0-0 4-8 12 2 2 4 4 16 22 -
S. Dockery * 30 1-4 1-1 2-2 6 4 0 0 1 5 10 -
D. Ewing * 20 2-6 1-2 0-2 1 3 0 0 2 5 1 -
S. Randolph * 20 3-6 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
L. Melchionni 27 4-6 3-4 2-2 4 0 2 0 1 13 12 -
D. Nelson 23 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
P. Johnson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams * 33 6-17 0-0 7-9 13 0 0 2 1 19 16 -
A. Bethel * 32 9-14 2-3 3-4 4 6 5 0 2 23 22 -
J. Gray * 30 6-12 2-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 16 10 -
J. Levy * 30 3-5 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
V. Danelius * 17 4-9 2-4 2-3 3 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
T. Downey 23 2-7 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
T. Strickland 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
C. Ellis 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 4 8 -
K. Visser 7 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -

* = starter