Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hicks * | 36 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| N. Williams * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. White * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Maxiell * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Muhammad * | 24 | 1-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | - |
| A. Kirkland | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Moore | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Bright | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Lucas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Murray | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dean * | 35 | 6-15 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Ellis Myles * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| L. O'Bannon * | 32 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| F. Garcia * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Palacios * | 29 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| O. George | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Wade | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Laudermill | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| P. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Gianiny | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter