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2005-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% -
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -16 (73-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tatum 36 5-13 3-6 0-1 4 5 1 0 2 13 8 -
Darren Brooks 34 8-14 2-2 2-4 5 7 3 0 1 20 20 -
T. Young 31 5-7 4-5 2-2 2 5 1 0 2 16 15 -
Josh Warren 26 3-5 0-0 3-4 5 2 1 0 2 9 10 -
M. Shaw 21 3-4 0-0 3-4 3 2 1 0 0 9 11 -
L. Owen 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
S. Hairston 15 1-2 0-1 4-4 4 3 0 0 1 6 10 -
R. Falker 15 5-7 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 2 0 10 10 -
M. Dale 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
C.J. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Foster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Smithpeters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bennett 34 4-15 1-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 8 9 -6 -
M. Sommerville 33 6-11 2-4 6-7 6 2 1 0 1 20 17 -
P. O'Bryant 31 5-10 0-0 5-5 7 0 1 2 0 15 15 -
D. Ruffin 29 2-6 0-2 3-3 1 2 1 0 2 7 3 -
L. Wright 23 4-8 0-1 6-8 12 2 2 2 1 14 23 -
J. Crouch 19 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 2 6 -
D. Adams 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Rembert 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
J.J. Tauai 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
L. Stemler 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Heirman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter