Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -1 (58-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Alexander | 36 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Vince Greene | 35 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 29 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| T. Guidry | 27 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Plank | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brooks | 32 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Randolph | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Korver | 29 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| P. Eggers | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| N. Works | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| C. Bryant | 18 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Bancroft | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| S. Tracy | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Houston | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter