Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walsh * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Lee * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 16 | - |
| C. Brewer * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Roberson * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Horford * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Noah | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Green | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Richard | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Humphrey | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Power * | 36 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| L. Roberts * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| O. Harper * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| G. Ervin * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Campbell * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| W. Sharpe | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Slater | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. McTiller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Boler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Morgan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter