Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✗ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 37 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| L. Head * | 36 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 35 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| D. Brown * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| R. Powell * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Ingram | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. McBride | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nick Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Davis * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Anderson * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| S. Brown * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Ager * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Hill * | 27 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Torbert | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Trannon | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tim Bograkos | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Naymick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter