🐻⬇️🏀

Western Michigan Broncos 77
@
Toledo Rockets 83
2005-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Western Michigan Broncos Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% - ✓
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 ✓ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.8% 51.2% - ✓

Actual: Toledo Rockets +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Michigan Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Willis 36 0-4 0-2 5-7 2 4 0 0 1 5 6 -
B. Reed 33 7-14 2-4 5-6 5 3 1 0 1 21 15 -
J. Reitz 30 4-8 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 1 0 10 6 -
L. Rost 30 6-11 2-4 3-5 7 0 2 1 6 17 10 -
B. Snider 24 1-3 0-2 0-4 3 3 1 0 4 2 2 -
S. Bufford 16 2-4 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
S. Laku 11 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Hess 10 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 4 8 -
J. Bronson 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Triplett 33 6-13 0-2 9-11 6 3 2 1 1 21 19 -
J. Ingram 31 3-5 3-4 3-4 7 1 1 0 6 12 10 -
S. Villegas 28 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Howell 22 7-13 4-7 2-2 2 1 1 1 1 20 11 -
K. Payne 21 4-5 1-1 1-2 1 7 0 0 1 10 12 -
K. Milson 20 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 2 0 2 -
A. Currie 20 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 3 1 0 7 10 -
F. Valencia 18 3-3 0-0 5-6 1 1 0 0 1 11 9 -
A. Pinson 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter