Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +17 (88-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 36 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| C. Walton | 33 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| M. Thomas | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Sharper | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Hudson | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 15 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Camara | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Manker | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. DeVries | 34 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| M. Walters | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Granger | 29 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| A. Neale | 28 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| J. Hart | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Harden | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Danridge | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Wall | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Osby | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Phaler | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Walter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter