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2005-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (25.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Log Adjusted 49.1% 50.9% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +29 (84-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 29 3-14 2-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 8 -5 -
D. Wohl * 23 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 0 1 -
R. Coleman * 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Sims * 16 2-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 3 2 6 8 -
B. Petway * 11 3-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
G. Brown 31 5-10 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 11 4 -
J. Andrews 23 0-3 0-1 3-6 1 2 1 0 1 3 3 -
C. Hunter 15 4-8 2-3 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 11 6 -
A. Bell 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 1 2 -
S. Harrell 14 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
J.C. Mathis 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Ba 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKnight * 36 4-10 2-4 8-8 2 2 1 0 1 18 12 -
D. Teague * 33 4-10 3-7 3-4 6 7 2 0 1 14 18 -
S. Heber * 28 6-8 0-0 9-10 8 2 1 0 0 21 24 -
C. Landry * 22 6-9 0-0 7-12 7 1 1 1 4 19 16 -
X. Price * 19 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 6 -
C. Hartley 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Davis 16 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
G. Ware 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 0 2 -
Andrew Ford 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Carroll 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
A. Liddell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter