Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.