Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.1 | ✓ (21.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (100-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Dowdell | 35 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | - |
| M. Cooke | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Harris | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Washington | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Green | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. King | 14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| C. Tucker | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Dixon | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Gordon | 8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| R. Krabbendam | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Calloway | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick | 36 | 8-19 | 6-11 | 7-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | - |
| S. Williams | 35 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 34 | - |
| D. Ewing | 29 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Dockery | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Nelson | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Randolph | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P. Johnson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| P. Davidson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Perkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Novick | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter