Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Greene | 38 | 6-9 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| G. Alexander | 36 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Guidry | 36 | 6-17 | 3-11 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 2 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 25 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| N. Plank | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Howard | 33 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| R. Burns | 32 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| P. Miller | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Couisnard | 23 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| A. Liberty | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Wilson | 20 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Ogirri | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Kampman | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Braeuer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter