Model Predictions
| Model | Creighton Bluejays | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McKinney | 34 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| N. Funk | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| J. Mathies | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Miliner | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Watts | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Day | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| A. Tolliver | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Motz | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Hibma | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Howard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shavies | 34 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 3-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| N. Bilyeu | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. Ahearn | 24 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Thompson | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Chaney | 20 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| S. Frazier | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Easley | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Maclin | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Richards | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter