Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ellis | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. Karl | 36 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 18 | - |
| K. Clark | 34 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| E. Lane | 32 | 1-9 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Banks | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Johnson | 24 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| S. Robinson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pearson | 40 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| E. Castro | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Roberts | 36 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| P. Simpson | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. Killen | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Isham | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Ritter | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Dement | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter