Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Nicholls Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nicholls Colonels +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.