Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | -6.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.