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2005-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Morehead State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 89.6% 10.4% -
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% -
Margin 63.2% 36.8% -3.0 (15.0 off)

Actual: Morehead State Eagles +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pearson 35 10-17 6-11 2-2 6 4 0 0 3 28 18 -
K. Jenifer 31 4-8 0-2 4-6 2 5 1 0 3 12 9 -
J. Orr 25 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 3 0 2 2 6 -
P. Griffith 23 2-7 0-0 1-4 7 0 2 2 0 5 9 -
S. Witherspoon 20 3-6 1-3 1-2 6 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
I. Redding 20 4-6 1-1 1-1 7 0 1 0 1 10 11 -
D. Hopkins 18 1-7 1-3 3-4 2 4 0 0 0 6 5 -
C. Johnson 12 1-2 0-0 2-6 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
S. Dansby 8 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
R. Jackson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Holder 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Wolf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A.J. Adams 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Smith 39 4-9 2-5 6-8 2 6 3 0 2 16 16 -
O. Towers-Solis 38 5-9 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 11 7 -
J. Reed 36 5-12 0-4 1-2 4 3 2 0 2 11 6 -
C. McKnight 34 6-11 0-0 1-2 5 2 2 0 4 13 7 -
R. Kelly 30 3-5 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 9 5 -
R. Walters 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
T. Stevens 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. True 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter