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2005-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 1.8% 98.2% -
Bradley-Terry 5.0% 95.0% -
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% -
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +12 (91-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wilson * 31 5-7 3-4 4-4 2 4 0 0 0 17 16 -
D. Cooper * 29 4-12 1-6 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 9 1 -
B. Sullivan * 21 4-5 2-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 12 14 -
A. Gahlmann * 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
P. Jeter 40 8-15 6-11 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 22 8 -
M. Lewis 28 4-10 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 9 4 -
K. Aaker 14 0-3 0-3 2-2 0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Vance 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 1 3 -
J. Dominguez 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 38 5-12 3-9 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 15 5 -
R. Turiaf * 34 3-8 0-1 10-12 9 7 0 3 4 16 23 -
J.P. Batista * 33 8-11 1-1 8-8 12 1 1 0 1 25 27 -
A. Morrison * 31 4-12 2-3 8-9 7 3 0 0 1 18 15 -
E. Knight * 14 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 5 1 0 1 3 7 -
D. Pendergraft 17 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 6 -
S. Mallon 13 3-5 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 10 9 -

* = starter