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2005-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% -
Efficiency 34.0% 66.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% -
Log Adjusted 81.4% 18.6% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Jacobson 37 5-12 3-9 0-0 2 6 1 0 3 13 7 -
G. Stout 28 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 2 3 8 9 -
Chris Foster 28 3-9 2-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 8 5 -
E. Crawford 28 6-10 5-8 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 19 13 -
E. Coleman 20 5-10 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 2 1 12 12 -
J. Little 20 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 0 -1 -
B. McKowen 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
Pete Schmit 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 3 0 -
A. Viet 7 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 -1 -
J. Godfread 5 0-0 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Josten 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Randolph 32 4-11 0-1 22-24 4 5 2 0 5 30 25 -
K. Korver 29 2-2 2-2 0-0 8 1 2 0 3 6 12 -
C. Brooks 29 1-5 0-2 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
P. Eggers 22 1-2 0-0 4-6 0 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Bryant 20 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
N. Works 18 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 3 10 8 -
D. Bancroft 17 3-4 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 3 3 8 13 -
S. Tracy 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 6 6 -
L. Houston 12 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Nate Richie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Diezi 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Emmenecker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Grant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Heemskerk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter