Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.2% | 1.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.3% | 21.7% | -7.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +12 (62-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 39 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Sharper | 29 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Thomas | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Walton | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3 | - |
| T. Smith | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Hudson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Manker | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Keller | 38 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Hood | 38 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. McCraw | 30 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| N. Welch | 30 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Buchanan | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Holum | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter