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2005-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% -
Log Adjusted 4.8% 95.2% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +23 (89-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Grier 36 5-17 0-0 7-10 8 0 2 0 1 17 9 -
A. Robinson 35 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -3 -
R. Tucker 26 4-7 2-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 1 12 11 -
Jeff Hagen 26 4-6 0-0 2-3 6 0 1 1 1 10 11 -
Brent Lawson 24 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Stamper 21 2-6 0-0 3-4 2 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
D. Coleman 21 5-12 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 11 0 -
S. Tollackson 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Webb 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Saunders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Nuness 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams 32 7-10 4-5 0-0 5 6 2 0 5 18 16 -
D. Brown 31 2-6 1-4 2-2 4 6 3 0 1 7 13 -
L. Head 27 4-11 2-8 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 10 4 -
J. Augustine 25 5-6 0-0 5-6 7 1 2 3 2 15 20 -
R. Powell 20 8-12 2-3 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 21 12 -
R. McBride 20 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Nick Smith 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 0 4 -
J. Ingram 15 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 8 9 -
W. Carter 7 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
S. Pruitt 5 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
F. Nkemdi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter