Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.6 | ✗ (26.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -22 (72-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heard | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| I. Boylan | 28 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Locke | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. White | 23 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Caracciolo | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Cook | 14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| G. Okwudibonye | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Smith | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Abdelsamad | 35 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 14-15 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| R. Moore | 31 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Marentez | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -4 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 18 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Stearns | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Butts | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Schwarz | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Carlyle | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Symes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter