Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +16 (72-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.