Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Roberts * | 39 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| G. Ervin * | 36 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| O. Harper * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Shane Power * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Campbell * | 14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| W. Sharpe | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Slater | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell * | 39 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| A. Hudson * | 38 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Bass * | 36 | 11-14 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 30 | - |
| B. Balla * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| G. Davis * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| R. Neltner | 17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| X. Whipple | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Lazare | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Wolfert | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Maravich | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter