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UCLA Bruins 72
@
USC Trojans 69
2005-01-29

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% - ✓
Margin 53.1% 46.9% -0.7 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 69.6% 30.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 69.7% 30.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% - ✓

Actual: USC Trojans -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Farmar * 34 1-6 0-2 5-7 5 6 2 0 3 7 11 -
J. Shipp * 33 4-9 3-6 2-4 7 0 1 0 3 13 9 -
D. Thompson * 32 8-13 0-1 8-11 7 1 3 1 4 24 19 -
A. Afflalo * 28 3-7 3-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 9 3 -
M. Fey * 25 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 1 2 -
Brian Morrison 21 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 6 1 -
L. Mata-Real 13 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 0 8 10 -
M. McKinney 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
R. Hollins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Betz-White * 35 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 3 3 0 1 5 5 -
N. Young * 35 8-12 3-4 3-5 7 1 2 1 2 22 19 -
G. Pruitt * 31 7-16 4-8 1-2 0 3 3 0 2 19 7 -
Jeff McMillan * 29 4-8 0-0 0-4 7 3 0 0 3 8 7 -
N. Curtis * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
G. Guenther Jr. 22 4-7 0-1 0-1 5 1 1 0 3 8 5 -
R. O'Neil 18 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 2 3 -
E. Craven 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -6 -
D. Craven 9 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter