Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -9 (81-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| N. Enzweiler | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 10-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| G. Jones | 27 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Henry | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Whiten | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 8 | - |
| F. Sampson | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Haskins | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| V. Lisinac | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. McGinn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Williams | 31 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Porter | 31 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| J. Bell | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Schille | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Calicott | 23 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 22 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Henning | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Bates | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Misko | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Ost | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter