Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -1 (67-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kennedy * | 34 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| R. Rondo * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Hayes * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Morris * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Perry | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Bradley | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Moss | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Adetula | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Thomas | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Crawford | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Famutimi * | 32 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Payne * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| E. Ferguson * | 31 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| D. Townes * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Michael Jones * | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Thomas | 27 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Modica | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Hill | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Sullivan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Monk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter