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2005-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% -
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% -
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 67.0% 33.0% -
Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Log Adjusted 85.5% 14.5% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McFadgon * 35 5-19 2-6 2-3 9 4 0 0 2 14 6 -
A. Patterson * 34 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 3 10 10 -
C. Lofton * 28 1-5 1-5 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 5 6 -
M. Wingate * 24 0-2 0-0 6-6 3 5 0 2 3 6 11 -
C.J. Watson 38 5-9 3-5 4-5 2 0 2 0 2 17 10 -
J. Hendrix 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
D. Bradshaw 16 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
S. Asumnu 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Young * 40 2-10 1-5 6-6 2 7 1 0 1 11 10 -
N. Watson * 38 5-9 1-5 4-4 4 2 2 1 1 15 14 -
T. Douglas * 34 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 5 3 -
Q. Brown * 30 5-11 1-2 0-2 8 2 1 1 1 11 11 -
F. Tolbert * 13 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
D. Hayles 30 4-8 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 2 3 10 8 -
M. Edun 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Derozan 4 2-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
T. Gaines 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Daniel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter