Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | +0.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers +9 (74-65). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Smith | 40 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Robert Merritt | 37 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| J. Merritt | 35 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Bryan Boerjan | 29 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jon Mills | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Josh Hare | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Curtis West | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Dildy | 37 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| A. Gobczynski | 35 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Josh Gomes | 29 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Bobby Catchings | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Patterson | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| George Tandy | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Wright | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Bil Duany | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter