Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.3% | 34.7% | -3.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -25 (52-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Harris | 31 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| D. Pak | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Carroll | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Williams | 27 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Nelson | 26 | 10-12 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| A. Holmes | 20 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Neil | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. McGowen | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. McVey | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Calvin Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fitzgerald | 37 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| G. Ethington | 36 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Schraeder | 34 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| D. Fells | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Gloger | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Campbell | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| P. Sanders | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Metelski | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Baker | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter