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2005-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 69.1% 30.9% -
Bradley-Terry 56.4% 43.6% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% -
Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Log Adjusted 59.8% 40.2% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McLean * 36 9-12 4-7 2-3 6 2 0 1 3 24 18 -
E. Brown * 30 7-14 0-0 5-9 15 0 1 0 5 19 16 -
S. Singletary * 18 2-8 1-6 1-3 0 3 1 0 1 6 1 -
J. Cain * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
J.R. Reynolds 37 3-8 2-5 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 10 8 -
T. Bannister 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 0 -3 -
G. Forbes 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Joseph 18 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
T. Soroye 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 4 7 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon * 40 5-11 0-2 0-1 5 8 4 1 2 10 15 -
Carlos Dixon * 40 6-11 4-7 0-0 6 3 4 2 1 16 19 -
A. Green * 38 8-14 0-1 4-9 7 1 1 2 2 20 15 -
Z. Dowdell * 34 5-9 3-6 1-2 0 4 1 0 2 14 8 -
D. Washington * 31 3-5 0-0 8-11 5 1 0 0 1 14 14 -
M. Cooke 14 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 5 4 -
S. Harris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Witherspoon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter