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2005-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% -
Margin 26.6% 73.4% +5.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 23.1% 76.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Coleman * 36 4-8 2-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 10 5 -
D. Harris * 32 5-9 2-5 0-0 2 3 2 0 6 12 4 -
C. Sims * 29 4-8 0-0 4-7 5 1 0 2 1 12 11 -
G. Brown * 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 5 2 -
D. Wohl * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
B. Petway 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Andrews 21 1-2 0-1 0-3 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Bell 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Hunter 11 4-7 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 10 2 -
S. Harrell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J.C. Mathis 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ager * 31 7-16 1-4 3-4 6 2 1 0 2 18 9 -
A. Anderson * 25 5-8 0-0 0-2 4 0 2 0 3 10 5 -
S. Brown * 25 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Hill * 23 2-8 0-3 2-3 2 6 1 0 1 6 6 -
D. Rowley * 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
P. Davis 23 3-7 0-0 6-6 4 3 3 1 0 12 16 -
K. Torbert 22 3-4 1-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 4 8 6 -
M. Trannon 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 4 6 -
D. Neitzel 17 1-2 0-1 0-1 0 2 1 0 2 2 1 -
D. Naymick 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Tim Bograkos 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter