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2005-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.1% 68.9% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% -
Efficiency 73.1% 26.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Log Adjusted 10.2% 89.8% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Schnitker 37 0-1 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 -
G. Moore 35 2-6 0-2 4-4 3 2 3 0 2 8 8 -
D. Moss 34 10-14 2-3 6-8 3 0 3 0 4 28 16 -
A. Daanish 33 6-19 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 0 3 13 3 -
E. Gray 25 0-7 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -5 -
J. Adler 24 1-5 0-0 5-6 6 4 1 0 0 7 13 -
M. Yelovich 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
B. Ray 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Crawford 35 4-9 0-3 2-2 6 5 0 0 2 10 10 -
B. Jacobson 34 4-10 1-5 6-7 6 3 2 0 1 15 15 -
Chris Foster 30 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 2 1 -
G. Stout 26 5-7 0-0 2-3 10 0 1 4 0 12 20 -
J. Little 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Godfread 20 3-7 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 0 6 3 -
E. Coleman 11 7-9 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 2 14 10 -
Pete Schmit 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
B. McKowen 9 1-4 1-3 2-3 1 0 1 0 1 5 2 -
A. Santos 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter