Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +7 (62-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clark | 40 | 0-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -8 | - |
| J. Porter | 40 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| H. Rivers | 36 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Paez | 28 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| T. Moore | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Brown | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Thomas | 10 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Simon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Brady | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Howell | 35 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Thomas | 33 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| B. Dawkins | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| R. Epps | 28 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Posey | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Floyd | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Henderson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Griffin | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Neukomm | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Guidry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| B. Sauls | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter