Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -5 (55-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roberson | 38 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Davis | 38 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| E. Shelton | 36 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| J. Davidson | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| R. Steele | 30 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Felix | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Weber | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Brock | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jonus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Watson | 39 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| I. Young | 38 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Douglas | 36 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Q. Brown | 34 | 4-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Hayles | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Derozan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Edun | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Daniel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter