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2005-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (23.4 off)
Pythagorean 66.8% 33.2% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Log Adjusted 90.9% 9.1% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -22 (62-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sparks * 35 6-17 4-10 3-4 0 5 3 0 1 19 9 -
M. Kennedy * 35 6-13 1-3 4-7 6 3 1 0 0 17 14 -
R. Morris * 18 2-4 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 2 6 5 -
R. Rondo * 13 3-4 0-0 3-6 2 2 1 0 1 9 9 -
C. Hayes * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 2 6 -
R. Bradley 21 3-9 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 6 5 -
S. Thomas 21 3-3 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 0 1 7 12 -
J. Crawford 16 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 8 5 -
B. Perry 13 4-8 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
M. Adetula 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Moss 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wingate * 33 6-10 0-0 2-4 6 0 2 3 4 14 11 -
C. Lofton * 31 6-14 5-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 17 7 -
S. McFadgon * 28 2-9 1-5 2-3 0 1 0 0 2 7 -3 -
A. Patterson * 26 2-2 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 2 3 4 12 -
C.J. Watson 37 5-11 0-4 2-2 5 7 2 0 3 12 12 -
J. Hendrix 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 6 6 -
D. Bradshaw 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
S. Asumnu 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Howell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter