Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Burton | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Lucious Wagner | 30 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 29 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| J. Petty | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Strickland | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Gore | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Webster | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| C. Phifer | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Ottens | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| F. Calvez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Booker | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Greene | 32 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| T. Guidry | 31 | 8-18 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| G. Alexander | 30 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Plank | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Dyer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Ford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kirstein | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wallace | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter