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2005-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.7% 40.3% -
Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.4% 12.6% -
Log Adjusted 87.5% 12.5% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -10 (65-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 39 5-13 0-1 3-4 6 6 0 0 3 13 9 -
D. Brown * 36 2-9 2-5 2-4 2 5 4 0 0 8 10 -
L. Head * 35 5-10 2-4 6-6 2 4 1 0 3 18 12 -
R. Powell * 26 5-7 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 11 6 -
J. Augustine * 23 5-6 0-0 4-4 8 2 1 2 3 14 18 -
J. Ingram 21 2-4 2-2 2-2 6 0 2 2 0 8 14 -
Nick Smith 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. McBride 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hanson * 38 2-8 1-3 1-3 3 2 2 0 0 6 5 -
Mike Wilkinson * 34 5-9 0-1 3-4 5 1 2 1 0 13 13 -
K. Taylor * 29 3-7 0-3 1-2 2 1 0 1 3 7 1 -
A. Tucker * 26 7-10 2-4 0-1 8 1 0 0 4 16 11 -
Sharif Chambliss * 26 5-10 4-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 14 8 -
R. Nixon 18 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 9 7 -
J. Parker 14 0-0 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 2 0 4 -
M. Flowers 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Helmigk 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter