Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.5% | 16.5% | -8.9 | ✗ (41.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +33 (69-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.