Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -7 (64-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Schraeder | 35 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Fitzgerald | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Gloger | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| N. Campbell | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| G. Ethington | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Fells | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Metelski | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Baker | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Moore | 39 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| R. Marentez | 37 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| F. Abdelsamad | 31 | 8-12 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Stearns | 21 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Butts | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter