Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +24 (80-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cresnik | 33 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Lekavicius | 29 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| A. Ingram | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| S. Lewis | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| P. Okpwae | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Petrauskas | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Billbe | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Graham | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Weinstein | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Eitutavicius | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Lay | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hamilton | 34 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - |
| K. Simmons | 28 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| N. Lufkin | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| P. Doherty | 26 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Hurley | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| G. Kinsey | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Hyland | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Thomas | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Clifford | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Smiley | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Brault | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Cruze | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter