Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | +18.2 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks +4 (56-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Colclasure | 38 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Oppland | 36 | 11-14 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 18 | - |
| R. Howard | 36 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Loyd | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Harris | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Mbaye | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Huff | 19 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| V. Humphrey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Baez | 36 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 9-11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 26 | - |
| D. Jackson | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| N. Kentle | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| W. Lewis | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Okeson | 27 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| F. Oguns | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| N. Koster | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Blalock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Lasek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter