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2005-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 87.8% 12.2% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -42.9 (46.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Log Adjusted 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 42 7-18 4-9 2-2 7 3 0 0 2 20 10 -
D. Wilson 38 5-6 0-0 0-2 9 3 2 0 2 10 16 -
M. Lewis 31 5-10 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
K. Aaker 28 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Sullivan 22 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
D. Cooper 21 4-10 3-7 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 12 5 -
D. Vance 19 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
A. Gahlmann 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 4 4 -
J. Dominguez 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Averette 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cox 42 4-14 2-8 0-0 6 5 0 0 1 10 6 -
J. Gumbs 40 10-14 3-4 4-7 11 1 0 0 0 27 25 -
J. Gaines 34 2-4 1-2 3-5 0 3 3 0 2 8 8 -
T. Riley 34 5-15 2-9 5-6 9 2 0 1 4 17 10 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 28 1-1 0-0 1-4 5 0 1 3 1 3 10 -
N. Pierce 17 0-0 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
D. Ingerson 16 3-9 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 2 -
J. Dukes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Andre Hazel 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Barnes 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter