Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 100.0% | 0.0% | -42.9 | ✗ (46.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Jeter | 42 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| D. Wilson | 38 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| M. Lewis | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Aaker | 28 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Sullivan | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Cooper | 21 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Vance | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Gahlmann | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Dominguez | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Averette | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cox | 42 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Gumbs | 40 | 10-14 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 25 | - |
| J. Gaines | 34 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Riley | 34 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Wiggins Jr. | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| N. Pierce | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Ingerson | 16 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Dukes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre Hazel | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Barnes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter