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2005-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 8.2% 91.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% -
Log Adjusted 12.6% 87.4% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Nelson 33 5-8 0-0 0-2 5 2 1 2 2 10 10 -
S. Morris 32 10-17 9-14 2-3 3 5 3 0 6 31 19 -
J. Smith 27 3-8 0-1 4-6 8 4 0 1 1 10 14 -
M. Williams 26 3-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 8 5 -
M. Morris 25 2-8 1-3 3-5 5 2 0 0 0 8 7 -
S. Creason 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Rakiecki 15 0-4 0-4 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
A. Patterson 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
S. Verwers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Blankson 28 8-13 1-2 3-8 11 1 0 0 1 20 18 -
L. Amundson 28 5-9 0-0 3-5 9 0 2 0 2 13 13 -
J. Blassingame 26 5-8 1-3 2-4 1 7 0 0 4 13 9 -
M. Umeh 21 2-4 2-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 8 10 -
C. Terry 21 3-6 1-2 6-7 3 0 0 0 2 13 8 -
T. Vaught 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 2 3 -
A. Hannan 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
D. Villepigue 15 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
R. Morgan 14 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 8 8 -
J. Anthony 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter