Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nelson | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Morris | 32 | 10-17 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 19 | - |
| J. Smith | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Williams | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Morris | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Creason | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Rakiecki | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Patterson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Verwers | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Blankson | 28 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 3-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| L. Amundson | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Blassingame | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Umeh | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Terry | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Vaught | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Hannan | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Villepigue | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Morgan | 14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Anthony | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter