Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.