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2005-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 51.5% 48.5% -0.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% -
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Moss 38 5-10 3-4 0-1 6 8 0 0 2 13 15 -
T. Schnitker 35 5-10 2-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 12 5 -
J. Adler 31 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
E. Gray 31 6-13 2-7 2-2 0 2 0 0 5 16 0 -
G. Moore 27 2-5 2-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 6 5 -
M. Yelovich 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 2 9 -
A. Daanish 17 2-4 0-0 4-6 3 0 0 1 3 8 5 -
B. Ray 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Anslinger 34 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 3 -
Lucious Wagner 34 3-7 2-4 4-4 4 5 0 1 3 12 12 -
A. Burton 34 3-8 0-1 4-6 6 3 1 1 2 10 11 -
M. Webster 31 8-16 2-4 2-3 6 3 3 1 2 20 15 -
B. Strickland 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Petty 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 2 4 -
E. Ottens 12 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
D. Gore 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
F. Calvez 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Phifer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter