Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✗ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.